beyer speed figures 2022beyer speed figures 2022
Prior to the Malibu, Flightline and Baby Yoda (Prospective) were tied for the best number on the year, a 114. font-size: 12px; At Belmont Park, maiden special weight races for older horses have a par of 87. Where and when, I don't know yet. The end result also included a 98 Beyer, which matches the best speed figure run so far by Zandon, the morning-line Derby favorite. 84. On 2016s Derby trail, the top number was the 103 earned by Exaggerator in his victory in the Santa Anita Derby. .tableizer-table td { That . Below is a closer look at the top Beyer Speed Figure, Brisnet Speed Rating and TimeformUS Speed Figure earned by the 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders. To me, he's a gift.. .tableizer-table td { In Europe, Timeform has a similar rating scale that yields a number, but with a different value. Periods of rain. Module One, GlobalFoundries, Wilschdorfer Landstrae 101, Dresden, 01109 Germany . Three-year-old horses are expected to improve at this point in their careers, but this is also the first time any of them will run 1 1/4 mile. The popular rule of thumb for a rough equivalent of the Timeform score is to deduct 12-14 points to achieve the Beyer figure. The average winning Beyer Speed Figure in the Kentucky Derby is 109. Several runners had higher TimeformUS figures for Saturday's races, including Cavalry Charge with a 122 in winning the Fair Grounds Stakes (G3). Taiba broke his maiden with that impressive number in a six-furlong race on March 5. Before you place your wagers on the Derby, youll want the skinny on the horses. 2022 Kentucky Derby Trail: By the Numbers. Flightline was given a 118 Beyer figure for his sensational performance in Sunday's GI Runhappy Malibu S. at Santa Anita, which is the top figure assigned to any horse this year. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. Epicenter is right there with a high of 120. That is possible, Sadler said. He has faster numbers across the board than Florida Derby winner White Abarrio and will likely be double the price. [2] Flightline earned a 126 speed figure in winning the 2022 Pacific Classic Stakes at Del Mar Racetrack in 2022. Still, Carrick was assigned a Beyer Speed Figure of 95, while Robert Bruce got a 102. He will now try to win the Derby in only his third start, which seems preposterous, but it seemed preposterous to win the . [4] Easy Goer and Sunday Silence both earned 124 speed figures in the 1989 Breeders' Cup Classic, which tied for the fastest speed figure earned in any Breeders' Cup race. 0:04. On 2016's Derby trail, the top number was the 103 earned by Exaggerator in his victory in the Santa Anita Derby. I don't think he has any distance limitations.. Skippylongstocking had earned a prior best of only 94 in eight previous starts. Taiba earned the same number when defeating his stablemate in the Santa Anita Derby (G1). Beyer Speed Figures favor Epicenter, and it is not very close. Danzing Candy won the San Felipe at the same distance in 1:43.04. Triple Crown Winners from Sir Barton to Justify, Black History Month: Shining a Spotlight on Notable African American Jockeys, Preakness Quick Sheet: Get to Know the 2021 Preakness Horses, Get to Know All 13 U.S. margin: 3px; With a large field set to enter the starting gate on Saturday, want to see the horse racing predictions from racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir before making any 2022 Blue Grass . Click Here to sign up for a free subscription. Below is the best and most recent BSF from each horse in the 2022 Kentucky Derby Field. Daily Racing Form provides the top 25 race horses ranked by earnings. Kentucky Derby 2022: Who are the fastest contenders. Kentucky Derby 2022: Why your horse can - and can't - win Saturday's race. University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! The winner of the Kentucky Derby will likely run their best career race, but having a history of 100+ BSF helps predict such a performance. Flightline had already made headlines before his first career start, selling for $1 million at the 2019 Fasig-Tipton Saratoga sale. 3-Year-Old Female Older Male Older Female. You can throw out superlative after superlative. [5][6][7] Easy Goer also routinely ran in the 120 Beyer Speed Figure range on a regular basis in his races, while arch-rival Sunday Silence did so rarely and only when it was required for him to prevail. Other Andrew Beyer Breeders Cup picks are on the main page. It is done, and has always been done, by human beingsBeyer and Mark Hopkins, and their six associates. [8] It is noteworthy that Easy Goer's overall speed figures were substantially superior to principal rival Sunday Silence, despite Sunday Silence's slight three to one edge in their head-to-head races. In short, there is much reason for optimism as it pertains to Olympiad being effective at 1 miles in the Longines Classic Nov. 5 at Keeneland. Un Ojo notched only an 84 Beyer Speed Figure for his upset win in the Rebel (G2). . The bottom of the crop is equivalent in both years, with the lowest top-BSF at 83. Grandam (maternal grandmother) Flying Passage, by A.P. For losing horses, points are deducted according the lengths behind the winner and the distance of the race.Beyer Speed Figures are interchangeable from track to track. The British Rail Class 35 is a class of mixed-traffic B-B diesel locomotive with hydraulic transmission.Because of their Mekydro-design hydraulic transmission units, the locomotives became known as the Hymeks.They were numbered D7000-D7100. It will be well thought out and he'll have him ready to run no matter where he winds up.. 2022 Kentucky Derby Field Beyer Speed Figures. Please visit gambleaware.co.uk or gamcare.org.uk for guidelines on responsible gaming. Not only is Epicenter the lone horse in the race to run a number above 100, which is what it likely will take to win this race, but he has run three straight races with a 98 or higher Beyer. Your TDN download has begun. In fact, his 103 Beyer Speed Figure is the highest by a 3-year-old this year, according to the Daily Racing Form. Beyer Speed Figure: 86.7 Betting Favorites All time: 2 for 15: 2021 Winner: Modern Games (*) $2 Exacta: $93.60 $1 Trifecta: $958.70 The figures are generally less reliable in turf races, which often have a slow early pace resulting in slow final times that do not reflect the horse's true speed. Odds Shark does not target an audience under the age of 18. Stars of Yesterday: Looking Back at Best San Felipe Stakes Winners, Stars of Yesterday: Looking Back at Best Fountain of Youth Stakes Winners, Triple Crown Turning Point: The Right Rider for Gallant Fox, SLIDESHOW: U.S. Each week, we will analyze the top maiden winners by Beyer performances. TimeformUS also values the strength of Tim Yakteen's duo. [15][16], Beyer speculated that had his figures existed in 1973, Secretariat would have scored 139 in his classic 1973 win at the Belmont Stakes. Considering how poorly the Gazelle entrants ran in the Kentucky Oaks, it seems that the Gazelle was painfully weak this year, making the Wood look better than it really was. Chance of rain 100%. Going into last year's Kentucky Derby, the highest Beyer Speed Figure earned during the prep season was a 100 posted by Rock Your World when winning the Santa Anita Derby (G1). Video Poker Guide: Play the Best Online Video Poker Games, Tacitus 2019 Kentucky Derby Contender Profile, 2022 Belmont Stakes Odds: We The People Overtakes Mo Donegal On The Oddsboard, 2022 Breeders Cup Predictions: Expert Picks And Best Bets. [13] In 2007 the highest Beyer Speed Figure was 124 assigned to Midnight Lute in the 7 furlong Forego Handicap at Saratoga Race Course. Messier earned a 103 Beyer in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G3). This could have inflated the Beyer Speed Figure earned by a horse in a race. He's won four of his past five races, losing only by a head to Call Me Midnight in the Grade 3 Lecomte. That will be my guiding principle.. Morello performed the worst last time out, surprisingly after winning his first three races. Messier and Taiba recorded a 103, tops on the list. Timeform Ratings go a step further in trying to be both accurate and objective. He is recognized on the Joe Hirsch Honor Roll in the National Museum of Racing for excellence in turf writing. Winds ESE at 5 to 10 mph. Messier notched his 103 in the Robert B. Lewis on Feb. 6. He was nearly in a walk when crossing the wire after completing the seven furlongs in 1:21.37. A bay son of Not This Time, Epicenter has seen his Beyer Speed Figures go up in every race of his career, peaking with a 102 in the Louisiana Derby. Epicenter is the only other horse in the field to earn a figure above 100, earning a 102 Beyer in the Louisiana Derby. Figure 1a shows the stack of the device used for the study with a scanning electron microscope . Beyer Speed Figures express the most important factor in handicapping: how fast a horse has run in each of his starts. The big step that I know for sure is that we want to get him stretched out, he said. These numbers reflect the relative strength of different racing circuits. Both runners earned their lofty numbers in the Wood Memorial (G2). A colt being trounced in Belmont MSW company may find a soft spot upstate at Finger Lakes, where the par for the class is 59.In most cases, pars are not listed for races restricted to 2- or 3-year-olds. The Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes , t Hallandale Beach, Fla. Trainers always are searchi Before handicapping the Grade 2, $400,000 San Feli History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. The Malibu was the longest start of his career. Is Epicenter as much of a standout as he seems? As any horses drop out and new horses are elevated into the field, we can adjust the chart accordingly. They have come in quite a bit behind their competition, too, with next-lowest belonging to Barber Road. Early Voting's 122 TimeformUS number and Mo Donegal's 121 figure are the third and fourth best in the field. Beyer Speed Figures (BSF) is a common metric used to handicap horse racing and contextualize how well a horse ran in a given race. Epicenter is the only other horse in the field to . He's done a super job and he's made all the right moves. Signup and get a $200 deposit bonus! Nest improved to an 82 Beyer and a 99 Equibase figure in the Suncoast. Owned by WinStar . But it was a 5-year-old who had the fastest race of the weekend, at least according to two sources. Not a subscriber? Epicenter's effort in the Risen Star earned him a 98 Beyer and Brisnet. This page was last edited on 10 October 2022, at 07:24 (UTC). Its true that Speightsown has sired plenty of quality 2-year-olds and talented sprinters, but hes actually far more versatile than that. Longtime Washington Post columnist Andy Beyer created the Beyer Speed Figures, first appearing in his groundbreaking handicapping book Picking Sportsbooks in 1975. Crown Pride hails from Japan while Summer Is Tomorrow, despite a Kentucky breeding, has been racing in Dubai. The race got a 101 Beyer Speed Figure. Bob Weir revealed his 2022 Metropolitan Handicap picks ahead of Saturday's race, which is also known as the Met Mile . This should be taken with a gain of salt, however, because Epicenter has shown the most consistency. The fields for the 14 races that comprise the Breeders Cup World Championships really begin to come into focus in summer and fall, and just last weekend we witnessed several breakout performances. The class was developed for the Western Region of British Railways, which had opted for lightweight locomotives with hydraulic transmission, when allocated . Those who live and die by the speed figures may give Early Voting a chance to upset Epicenter andSkippylongstockinga shot to hit the board, but neither runner has any previous figure that is strong enough to lean on. The top Brisnet Speed Rating entering last year's Kentucky Derby was a 102 posted by the trio of Rock Your World, Essential Quality and Highly Motivated. The list since 1987 Though by no means the end all and be all of picking winners, speed figures provide a good gauge of the overall talent level of horses in a race. The figure may however be adjusted if the raw numbers are unusual based on the field's previous performances. According to the Daily Racing Form's Jay Privman, the 118 is the highest number given to any horse since Shancelot (Shanghai Bobby) got a 121 when winning the 2019 GII Amsterdam S. at Saratoga. His 120 was the highest number recorded since Quality Road earned a 121 in 2011. Why do we care? The Stephen Foster was the fifth straight triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure for Olympiad in 2022. After the New York Times gave the book an unexpected rave review, Picking Winners attracted a wide audience. According to Beyer Speed Figures, the Wood Memorial (G2) was nothing more than an average race, but TimeformUS and Brisnet value the usually weak Wood Memorial as a strong race this year. For the purpose of this particular preview we'll just . His dam (mother), Tokyo Time, by Medaglia dOro, was a winner at 1 1/8 miles and also Grade 2-placed at that distance. This year, Taiba,Messier, and Epicenterboth have topped that mark. Hes a graduate of BGSU and works as an auditor for Google content curation products. Indy are both major stamina influences as broodmare sires and Olympiads family also produced 1987 Ashland Stakes winner Chic Shirine and 2015 Travers Stakes winner Keen Ice. Photo: Benoit. Overall, the number reflects the time of the race and the inherent speed of the track over which it was run. University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! The system behind the figures was explained in detail and popularized by Andrew Beyers book, Picking Winners, published in 1975. No one else has topped 96. Trade. Both represent significant jumps - and another notable improvement, which would be necessary to compete against elite 3-year-olds, is a big ask from a 3-year-old. The third and final leg of the horse racing Triple Crown has arrived. The Stephen Foster was the fifth straight triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure for Olympiad in 2022. As he grew up in Erie, Pa., attended Harvard College, and wrote a horse-racing column for the Washington Post, Andrew Beyers great passions were handicapping and betting. While Flightline is expected to have a more complete campaign next year than he did this year, don't expect him to run seven or eight times. Barber Road ran in all four of the Derby preps in Arkansas and failed to put forth a figure that makes him competitive in any of those races. View information about the top race horses and their winnings at DRF.com today. Beyer Speed Figures will sometimes be revised after they are originally published. Wudda U Think Now had the weekend's highest Beyer Speed Figure and Brisnet Speed Ratings after winning the black-type Hollie Hughes at Aqueduct on . Un Ojo Ethereal Road and Happy Jack have the lowest career-best BSFs. While Beyer has also noted that "speed figures tell you how fast a horse ran in the past; they do not necessarily predict how it will run today," their use as a handicapping tool is premised on their ability to shed light on how a horse is likely to run in its next start. In the army they called it unity of command. Beyer Speed Figures express the most important factor in handicapping: how fast a horse has run in each of his starts.The winning figure for a race is based on three factors: the final time, the distance, and the inherent speed of the track (a calculation known as the track variant.) He said the best input you can have is to make sure you don't have any input. Belmont Stakes 2022: Post positions, morning line; We the People favored at 2-1. . None of the entrants in 2010's field has yet earned a number higher than 101. OddsShark horse racing expert Michael Dempsey will be providing his selections and analysis for both the Kentucky Oaks and Kentucky Derby Day cards at turfnsport.com. Their six associates involved in making figures include television commentator Randy Moss and long-time Philadelphia sports columnist Dick Jerardi, who have been with the business since its beginning. The Breeders Cup Classic is the marquee race of the two-day Breeders Cup World Championships to be held at Keeneland for the third time overall on Nov. 4-5, 2022, with 14Breeders Cup races offering $28million in purse money and awards. The most exciting two minutes in sports doubles as a betting bonanza as well. After reaching the WIAA Division 1 girls basketball state . Olympiad is a fast, consistent 4-year-old with a high-cruising speed that allows him to gain tactical position in his races, plus hes in the hands of one of the best trainers in the history of the sport. For winning the Arkansas Derby (G1), Cyberknife earned a Brisnet Figure three points lower than Happy Jack did while being dusted in the Santa Anita Derby. On the Beyer scale, the Santa Anita Derby was rated notably higher than the Wood. Anything can happen in a 20-horse race, but this is one example of consistent, positive past performances. He may just be the type of horse who is so fast than he needs ample time between races. It has sold approximately 200,000 copies, has been translated into Japanese and Korean, and is still in print after 44 years. Creating these figures is the result of a very complex process that involves mathematical formulas and judgment calls . A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. At 1 3/16 miles, its the longest Derby prep race, which is why the market looks extremely bullish on Epicenter. [1], The record for the highest Beyer Speed figure is held by Groovy, the 1987 American Champion Sprint Horse who earned 133 and 132 in back-to-back races,[2] in the Roseben and True North Handicaps at six furlongs in 1987. It is interesting that the 94 Beyer Speed Figure that Secret Oath earned in the Kentucky Oaks puts her right in the mix with the other top contenders. When considering his chances to excel at 1 miles in the classic, Olympiad gets a nice stamina boost from the bottom half of his pedigree. (Coady Photography), A Closer Look at 2022 Breeders Cup Classic Hopeful Olympiad, Grandview Equine, Cheyenne Stables, and LNJ Foxwoods. background-color: #104E8B; The lists provide daily updates of the top Equibase Speed Figures earned in stakes races in support of the Eclipse Awards: 2-Year-Old Male 2-Year-Old Female 3-Year-Old Male. [citation needed]. Olympiad, with Junior Alvarado in the irons, rolled to a 2 -length victory in the July 2 Stephen Foster Stakes at Churchill Downs, his fifth win in a row to start off 2022. Making just his third lifetime start after very impressive wins in a Santa Anita maiden and a Del Mar allowance, Flightline was tested for class in the Malibu, and couldn't have passed any more easily. Typically, Kentucky Derby field horses post BSF around or over 90. Indy, earned her lone win at 1 1/16 miles and produced Hungry Island and Soaring Empire, both stakes winners around two turns. This is an example of using the top figure as a "power rating," or singular measure of a horse's ability. Taiba earned the same number when defeating his stablemate in the Santa Anita Derby (G1). Its important to look at multiple data points, especially in the case of an unusually high or low number, such as that of Morello. Triple Crown Winners, From Barbershop to Backstretch: Real Players Sharing Unique Horse Racing Stories, General Jim Can Post the Upset in Fountain of Youth Stakes, 2023 Fountain of Youth Stakes Cheat Sheet: Get to Know the Horses. Welcome to 2022 Kentucky Derby Prospect Snapshots, where we'll take a look each week at a recent winner on the Triple Crown trail, usually from the Road to the Kentucky Derby schedule from which the . In last year's Kentucky Derby, Medina Spirit posted a 102 Beyer Speed Figure when crossing the wire first. [14] Alysheba ran a 122 speed figure in his career. Stay up-to-date with the best from America's Best Racing! Taiba (+800) and Messier (+800) lead the group having posted 103s previously in Kentucky Derby Prep races. Win.Use Promo Code: PLAYBONUS250PLAY NOW. "Five Takeaways" From the Week Concluding March 13, 2022 By Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Analyst and Handicapper. The first published work on creating speed-figures was E.W. However, Beyer gave both colts a Beyer Speed Figure of 100. At Belmont Park, maiden special weight races for older horses have a par of 87. Bet On Flightline (+375) at BetOnline color: #FFF; He was assigned a 103 Beyer Speed figure for that effort which is the highest in the field. Suite 100 Note that Crown Pride and Summer Is Tomorrow do not have relevant Beyer Speed Figures due to running outside the United States. The Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes , t Hallandale Beach, Fla. Trainers always are searchi Before handicapping the Grade 2, $400,000 San Feli History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. [5] Easy Goer is also the record-holder for a two-year-old, earning a 116 Beyer Speed Figure in the 1988 Champagne Stakes. In 1991, The Racing Times, an upstart newspaper founded by Steven Crist, put Beyer Speed Figures into print for the first time. For example, horse "A" has gotten Beyer Speed Figures of 90, 82, and 89 in his last three races. Call 7032375030 for more information. Beyer Speed Figures have become an industry standard for the comparison of one horse's performance to another. Using this information to contravene any law or statute is prohibited. He earned a 102 for his Preakness and a 105 for his Belmont Stakes victory. Messier earned a 103 Beyer in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G3). Messier and Taiba lead all contenders in the Beyer Speed Figure department. A horse doesnt have to have earned a triple-digit BSF before the Derby to win, but its also difficult to make an enormous leap of 10+ from a career-best in a prep race and win the Derby. I've got a good ownership group. This implies that Secretariat would have had the highest ever Beyer speed figure. From this work, using the same principle, Kovitz derived the beaten-lengths chart which Beyer published in Picking Winners. There's nothing written in stone, but I am mindful of the fact that I need to be careful.. USA: After drawing comparisons with the legendary Secretariat for his extraordinary 19-length romp in Saturday's Pacific Classic at Del Mar, Flightline has been awarded a Beyer speed figure of 126 - the second-highest in 31 years. Messier and Taiba lead all contenders in the Beyer Speed Figure department. We the People (2-1) Skippylongstocking (20-1) . 92. We'll analyze the Beyer Speed Figures on the prep . The most exciting two minutes in sports doubles as a betting bonanza as well. However, that came after the disqualification of Maximum Security. The par for the same class at Thistledown is 59. Only Epicenter and Taiba hit triple digits in their most recent race. 'TDN Rising Star' Flightline ( Tapit) is really, really, fast . color: #FFF; The team that puts out the Beyer speed figure numbers made it official Monday morning. If the top contenders in a Belmont MSW field regularly run in the 70s, the race may be a good spot for first-time starters or other entrants with no recent form. Young horses improve with time, typically at a rate of a point per month, so a par for 3-year-old $20,000 claimer could not be accurate in both January and December. The handicapping, sports odds information contained on this website is for entertainment purposes only. If speed figures are correct, it could be more of the same in 2022. Ran third in the Preakness, beaten 3 1/2 lengths by Early Voting, tabbed with a 100 Beyer Speed Figure at 10-1 . BSFs were created by Andy Beyer and are a system for rating the performance of horses in North America. In 10 of the last 12 Runs For The Roses, the winner posted a 100+ BSF in victory. He has had only three 3 starts and has yet to go beyond 1 1/16 miles. Wednesday College Basketball Best Bets: Will Texas Road Slump Continue? His Brisnet high of 101 is tied with Epicenter. margin: 3px; Below we take a closer look at the Beyer Speed Figures, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Figures to determine his biggest threats. [22] However, Beyer also acknowledged that by some calculations, Count Fleet's Beyer speed figures might have reached 150. border: 1px solid #CCC; He has run consecutive 101 numbers, which puts him behind four other Preakness probables. Taiba ran his in a five-furlong Maiden Special Weight in March. The lone outright winner to run under a 100 came in 2014 (California Chrome, 97). If their calculations would produce a figure that defies logic (due to a timing error, or a sudden change in the condition of the track, for example) they will assign the race a figure that reflects the true ability of horses in the field. Capped a run of three wins in four starts at Fair Grounds with a score in the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby, earning a career best Beyer Speed Figure of 102. His victory put him at the top of the 2022 Kentucky Derby leaderboard with a total of 64 points. So some of the traditional rules may not apply. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. Dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in each of his career you... With next-lowest belonging to Barber Road step further in trying to be both accurate objective. Daily Racing Form provides the top Figure as a betting bonanza as.. Bets: will Texas Road Slump Continue puts out the Beyer Speed Figure the... 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